Post by daedalus on Aug 21, 2014 1:25:53 GMT
Leading off this edition of Daedametrics is the Power Rankings. Formula is derived simply by calculating the difference between Offensive Rating and Defensive Rating. Higher score the better. More on these formulas later!
Still a lot of basketball to be played but here is a look at the Power Rankings after 1/3 of the season. The Bucks and Hawks have been dominant and the Warriors the class of the West. On the other end the Hornets and Nuggets are battling hard for the best lotto odds.
The Expected Win Percentage table (EWP) predicts winning percentages via Points for and Points against. This time around I have utilized the Estimated Win Percentage to "predict" the final record. *Note* this does NOT factor in anything other than EWP (your expected win percentage based on PPG and OPPG).
Typically I utilize "EWP" or Estimated Winning Percentage (which utilizes purely your PPG and OPPG in a ratio) to predict how many games you should win. This allows for a REASONABLE picture of the league after about the first third of the season.
Next up is the Team Metrics with Possessions, Offensive Rating, Defensive Rating, True Shooting Percentage, Effective Field Goal Percentage, and Rebounding Percentage listed at the top of the table. The top/bottom three of each category are listed at the bottom of the table.
Last but not least is the pretty chart. A better description is the overall rating for each team. Your offensive team rating is weighed against your defensive team rating. Upper right means you're above average in both.
Bucks are stretching the offensive side in the positive with the Hornets and Nuggets stretching to the left. Pacers elite defense stretching the chart with the Wizards atrocious defense further making the chart expand. I fully expect the chart to normalize for the most part as the season progressions.
That's all she wrote. I hope you enjoyed this statistical analysis of the league. Players Edition will be released with the All-Star weekend!
Still a lot of basketball to be played but here is a look at the Power Rankings after 1/3 of the season. The Bucks and Hawks have been dominant and the Warriors the class of the West. On the other end the Hornets and Nuggets are battling hard for the best lotto odds.
The Expected Win Percentage table (EWP) predicts winning percentages via Points for and Points against. This time around I have utilized the Estimated Win Percentage to "predict" the final record. *Note* this does NOT factor in anything other than EWP (your expected win percentage based on PPG and OPPG).
Typically I utilize "EWP" or Estimated Winning Percentage (which utilizes purely your PPG and OPPG in a ratio) to predict how many games you should win. This allows for a REASONABLE picture of the league after about the first third of the season.
Next up is the Team Metrics with Possessions, Offensive Rating, Defensive Rating, True Shooting Percentage, Effective Field Goal Percentage, and Rebounding Percentage listed at the top of the table. The top/bottom three of each category are listed at the bottom of the table.
Last but not least is the pretty chart. A better description is the overall rating for each team. Your offensive team rating is weighed against your defensive team rating. Upper right means you're above average in both.
Bucks are stretching the offensive side in the positive with the Hornets and Nuggets stretching to the left. Pacers elite defense stretching the chart with the Wizards atrocious defense further making the chart expand. I fully expect the chart to normalize for the most part as the season progressions.
That's all she wrote. I hope you enjoyed this statistical analysis of the league. Players Edition will be released with the All-Star weekend!
Once you hit your stride offensively you'll move to the right pretty quickly I imagine.
Problem is it is across the entire season so far. You'd need to figure out what changed statistically between the beginning of the season and LBJ trade. Your rebounding % is pretty low though but you also have the fastest pace. Hard to qualify what is wrong TBH.
