Post by themouth on Sept 28, 2015 20:23:10 GMT
In NBADSL, every rebuilding GM has to think about the CY. Four years, it's not that much, trust me, when your tanking fails and you end up picking at #9 and #5 the two first seasons. Let's have a look at every franchise who did not reset CY last year, and check what they risk in the next seasons.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
One year before entering CY
Current record : 15-19
The Cavaliers have had some rough seasons recently. They had three negative years (39-43, 28-54, 27-55) and are only a few days away from entering contract year, if they don't reset CY this season. Penny Hardaway (23.3ppg, 11.1rpg, .464 FG%) is still great and Glenn Robinson (27.0ppg, 8.2rpg, .496 FG%, .438 3P%) is one of the best SF in the league, but right now it's not completely enough. The Cavaliers also have Shawn Marion (9.9ppg, 11.8rpg, 3.8bpg, .370 FG%) and they look like they could reset CY (they have a +1.0 margin) with a good second half season. Worst scenario : they don't and then lose Penny to free agency.
Chances of being fired : 27.3%
DALLAS MAVERICKS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 16-27
The Mavericks just started rebuilding and they were quite efficient with the 3rd pick and the selection of Tyson Chandler (6.0ppg, 6.6rpg, .403 FG%). He and the surprising sophomore Roger Mason (15.4ppg, 6.6apg, .460 FG%) are a good base for rebuilding, and the Mavericks lose while still keeping Drazen Petrovic (28.1ppg, 3.4apg, .485 FG%, .446 3P%), who could be traded for a top prospect. No contract longer than two years except rookies. No worries for Dallas.
Chances of being fired : 1.7%
DETROIT PISTONS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 21-25
The Pistons rebuilding gave them a lot of solid prospects (Mihm, Jefferson, Wallace, Navarro) but no future superstar. They did not sign any in the FA either, but Antonio McDyess (27.5ppg, 8.9rpg, 3.0bpg, .470 FG%) turned into one in Detroit. They have a lot of well-paid roleplayers like Isaiah Rider (15.4ppg, 6.9rpg, 3.6apg, .449 FG%) and not a lot of room for improvement. CY is still far away, but choices will have to be made. It's a bit late to restart rebuilding, and they better not fail if they sign older guys and try to reset CY.
Chances of being fired : 16.1%
HOUSTON ROCKETS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 14-24
The Rockets just had the worst two first negative seasons possible : 39-43 and 40-42. No good pick, and two years lost on CY calendar. They're entering rebuilding, but they don't have a lot of time left and won't be able to tank for too long. But it's not possible to be too much worried about the Rockets, because they have the best 23yo player in the league locked for the next four years. And a lot of GM, not only Shorty, would overpay A LOT to get Tracy McGrady (26.0ppg, 7.5rpg, 4.2apg, .440 FG%). So if everything else fails, his trade might save Houston.
Chances of being fired : 18.5%
INDIANA PACERS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 21-18
Last year, the Pacers had their TWELFTH negative season in a row ! Is the franchise cursed ? Its two previous owners, Saric and Lakers209er, had the same results : five losing seasons, and fired. Will Tyfreak do better ? It really seems to. He has Tim Duncan (20.6ppg, 12.8rpg, 3.6apg, 2.9bpg, .471 FG%), Len Bias (26.0ppg, 7.5rpg, .459 FG%, .405 3P%) and a few nice prospects (Arenas, Terry). The East is kinda weak and apart from injuries I don't see them in the lottery. If they fail to reset CY, they will probably have to trade Arenas and hope his value hasn't droped.
Chances of being fired : 4.9%
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 25-17
The Bucks had four 52+ wins under Heatflash in the last years, and then they started a rebuild around Milos Obradovic (20.8ppg, 8.9apg, 1.7spg, .438 FG%). In only two years, they built an incredibly great team, with the superstar Larry Hughes (24.5ppg, 7.1rpg, 3.2apg, 2.9spg, .458 FG%) and the old big man Hakeem Olajuwon (17.2ppg, 10.1rpg, 2.6bpg, .469 FG%). Playoffs, CY reset, end of story.
Chances of being fired : 0.3%
BROOKLYN NETS
One year before entering CY
Current record : 18-20
The Nets GM changed but it looks like it did not reset CY (because they switched teams ?). The Nets are not in the best situation as they have a negative record, one year away from CY. But they have a solid team with Nick Van Exel (25.5ppg, 8.2rpg, .458 FG%, .403 3P%), Rashard Lewis (21.8ppg, .450 FG%) and Kurt Thomas (14.1ppg, 10.0rpg, .448 FG%). These three players are not even 30 years old and will stay in Brooklyn next year, with roleplayers as Poetl, Hill, Jeter. If they fail to reset CY this year, the Nets should be able to do it next year. But they will be in danger all season long, and injuries could kill them...
Chances of being fired : 24.6%
ORLANDO MAGIC
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 17-22
The Magic just started their rebuild, and they signed almost every available young star in FA last year. But they're having a tough season right now, which is hard to understand with players like Alonzo Mourning (24.4ppg, 10.8rpg, 2.9bpg, .461 FG%) and Paul Pierce (31.2ppg, 8.1rpg, 3.8apg, .481 FG%). Anyway, plenty of time left, plenty of assets, and it's Shorty.
Chances of being fired : 0.1%
SACRAMENTO KINGS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 16-25
The first rebuilding year did not pay off for the Kings, who ended up with Mo Williams (4.1ppg, 1.2apg, .454 FG%) in the draft. They have a lot of good players (Abdul-Rauf, Lafrentz, Reeves) but no star, except Keith Van Horn (21.3ppg, 6.2rpg, .469 FG%, .417 3P%) on the offensive end. A lot of time left, but some choices to make in the near future.
Chances of being fired : 3.9%
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 17-25
The Spurs are some strange seasons recently, escaped from one CY, made some rushes in the playoffs, and they're back in the near CY. Rebuilding has not been great for them, as Paul Gasol (10.1ppg, 8.8rpg, .375 FG%) is the worst bust in the last 10 drafts and Tayshaun Prince (9.2ppg, 4.1rpg, .401 FG%) won't be a superstar. The Spurs have some assets (Mashburn, Cassell, Williams) to trade and two drafts to get better prospects, but they better start thinking about CY because it's not that far away.
Chances of being fired : 22.4%
SEATTLE SUPERSONICS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 26-16
Kobe Bryant (24.7ppg, 5.6rpg, 4.8apg, 2.5spg, .444 FG%) and Benji Wilson (28.0ppg, 7.4rpg, 5.2apg, .491 FG%, .451 3P%). CY reset in a few days.
Chances of being fired : 0.01%
UTAH JAZZ
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 30-12
The Jazz have Shaquille O'Neal (16.7ppg, 14.0rpg, 3.2bpg, .461 FG%), Marcus Camby (22.5ppg, 13.4rpg, 4.5bpg, .467 FG%), Steve Smith (23.7ppg, 6.7rpg, 5.0apg, .474 FG%, .448 3P%) and the best record in the league. So ?
Chances of being fired : 0.001%
(this took me way more than I thought, so I'm lazy about adding pictures)
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
One year before entering CY
Current record : 15-19
The Cavaliers have had some rough seasons recently. They had three negative years (39-43, 28-54, 27-55) and are only a few days away from entering contract year, if they don't reset CY this season. Penny Hardaway (23.3ppg, 11.1rpg, .464 FG%) is still great and Glenn Robinson (27.0ppg, 8.2rpg, .496 FG%, .438 3P%) is one of the best SF in the league, but right now it's not completely enough. The Cavaliers also have Shawn Marion (9.9ppg, 11.8rpg, 3.8bpg, .370 FG%) and they look like they could reset CY (they have a +1.0 margin) with a good second half season. Worst scenario : they don't and then lose Penny to free agency.
Chances of being fired : 27.3%
DALLAS MAVERICKS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 16-27
The Mavericks just started rebuilding and they were quite efficient with the 3rd pick and the selection of Tyson Chandler (6.0ppg, 6.6rpg, .403 FG%). He and the surprising sophomore Roger Mason (15.4ppg, 6.6apg, .460 FG%) are a good base for rebuilding, and the Mavericks lose while still keeping Drazen Petrovic (28.1ppg, 3.4apg, .485 FG%, .446 3P%), who could be traded for a top prospect. No contract longer than two years except rookies. No worries for Dallas.
Chances of being fired : 1.7%
DETROIT PISTONS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 21-25
The Pistons rebuilding gave them a lot of solid prospects (Mihm, Jefferson, Wallace, Navarro) but no future superstar. They did not sign any in the FA either, but Antonio McDyess (27.5ppg, 8.9rpg, 3.0bpg, .470 FG%) turned into one in Detroit. They have a lot of well-paid roleplayers like Isaiah Rider (15.4ppg, 6.9rpg, 3.6apg, .449 FG%) and not a lot of room for improvement. CY is still far away, but choices will have to be made. It's a bit late to restart rebuilding, and they better not fail if they sign older guys and try to reset CY.
Chances of being fired : 16.1%
HOUSTON ROCKETS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 14-24
The Rockets just had the worst two first negative seasons possible : 39-43 and 40-42. No good pick, and two years lost on CY calendar. They're entering rebuilding, but they don't have a lot of time left and won't be able to tank for too long. But it's not possible to be too much worried about the Rockets, because they have the best 23yo player in the league locked for the next four years. And a lot of GM, not only Shorty, would overpay A LOT to get Tracy McGrady (26.0ppg, 7.5rpg, 4.2apg, .440 FG%). So if everything else fails, his trade might save Houston.
Chances of being fired : 18.5%
INDIANA PACERS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 21-18
Last year, the Pacers had their TWELFTH negative season in a row ! Is the franchise cursed ? Its two previous owners, Saric and Lakers209er, had the same results : five losing seasons, and fired. Will Tyfreak do better ? It really seems to. He has Tim Duncan (20.6ppg, 12.8rpg, 3.6apg, 2.9bpg, .471 FG%), Len Bias (26.0ppg, 7.5rpg, .459 FG%, .405 3P%) and a few nice prospects (Arenas, Terry). The East is kinda weak and apart from injuries I don't see them in the lottery. If they fail to reset CY, they will probably have to trade Arenas and hope his value hasn't droped.
Chances of being fired : 4.9%
MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 25-17
The Bucks had four 52+ wins under Heatflash in the last years, and then they started a rebuild around Milos Obradovic (20.8ppg, 8.9apg, 1.7spg, .438 FG%). In only two years, they built an incredibly great team, with the superstar Larry Hughes (24.5ppg, 7.1rpg, 3.2apg, 2.9spg, .458 FG%) and the old big man Hakeem Olajuwon (17.2ppg, 10.1rpg, 2.6bpg, .469 FG%). Playoffs, CY reset, end of story.
Chances of being fired : 0.3%
BROOKLYN NETS
One year before entering CY
Current record : 18-20
The Nets GM changed but it looks like it did not reset CY (because they switched teams ?). The Nets are not in the best situation as they have a negative record, one year away from CY. But they have a solid team with Nick Van Exel (25.5ppg, 8.2rpg, .458 FG%, .403 3P%), Rashard Lewis (21.8ppg, .450 FG%) and Kurt Thomas (14.1ppg, 10.0rpg, .448 FG%). These three players are not even 30 years old and will stay in Brooklyn next year, with roleplayers as Poetl, Hill, Jeter. If they fail to reset CY this year, the Nets should be able to do it next year. But they will be in danger all season long, and injuries could kill them...
Chances of being fired : 24.6%
ORLANDO MAGIC
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 17-22
The Magic just started their rebuild, and they signed almost every available young star in FA last year. But they're having a tough season right now, which is hard to understand with players like Alonzo Mourning (24.4ppg, 10.8rpg, 2.9bpg, .461 FG%) and Paul Pierce (31.2ppg, 8.1rpg, 3.8apg, .481 FG%). Anyway, plenty of time left, plenty of assets, and it's Shorty.
Chances of being fired : 0.1%
SACRAMENTO KINGS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 16-25
The first rebuilding year did not pay off for the Kings, who ended up with Mo Williams (4.1ppg, 1.2apg, .454 FG%) in the draft. They have a lot of good players (Abdul-Rauf, Lafrentz, Reeves) but no star, except Keith Van Horn (21.3ppg, 6.2rpg, .469 FG%, .417 3P%) on the offensive end. A lot of time left, but some choices to make in the near future.
Chances of being fired : 3.9%
SAN ANTONIO SPURS
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 17-25
The Spurs are some strange seasons recently, escaped from one CY, made some rushes in the playoffs, and they're back in the near CY. Rebuilding has not been great for them, as Paul Gasol (10.1ppg, 8.8rpg, .375 FG%) is the worst bust in the last 10 drafts and Tayshaun Prince (9.2ppg, 4.1rpg, .401 FG%) won't be a superstar. The Spurs have some assets (Mashburn, Cassell, Williams) to trade and two drafts to get better prospects, but they better start thinking about CY because it's not that far away.
Chances of being fired : 22.4%
SEATTLE SUPERSONICS
Three years before entering CY
Current record : 26-16
Kobe Bryant (24.7ppg, 5.6rpg, 4.8apg, 2.5spg, .444 FG%) and Benji Wilson (28.0ppg, 7.4rpg, 5.2apg, .491 FG%, .451 3P%). CY reset in a few days.
Chances of being fired : 0.01%
UTAH JAZZ
Two years before entering CY
Current record : 30-12
The Jazz have Shaquille O'Neal (16.7ppg, 14.0rpg, 3.2bpg, .461 FG%), Marcus Camby (22.5ppg, 13.4rpg, 4.5bpg, .467 FG%), Steve Smith (23.7ppg, 6.7rpg, 5.0apg, .474 FG%, .448 3P%) and the best record in the league. So ?
Chances of being fired : 0.001%
(this took me way more than I thought, so I'm lazy about adding pictures)
